Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, driven by a strengthening low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, represent the main driver keeping implied probabilities clustered around 24–26°C for Lucknow’s September 3 minimum. Official IMD alerts highlight thunderstorm activity and widespread showers through early September, which suppress daytime heating while elevated humidity and light easterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus from multiple sources points to overnight lows near 24–27°C under mostly cloudy skies, though breaks in rain could allow slightly lower readings. Traders appear to weigh the balance between typical monsoon moderation and potential short-term variability in convective patterns ahead of the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
31°C or higher 55%
21°C or below 48%
22°C 46%
23°C 45%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
48%
22°C
46%
23°C
45%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
34%
27°C
41%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
55%
31°C or higher 55%
21°C or below 48%
22°C 46%
23°C 45%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Wol.
48%
22°C
$5 Wol.
46%
23°C
$5 Wol.
45%
24°C
$0 Wol.
26%
25°C
$0 Wol.
26%
26°C
$0 Wol.
34%
27°C
$0 Wol.
41%
28°C
$0 Wol.
5%
29°C
$5 Wol.
3%
30°C
$5 Wol.
3%
31°C or higher
$5 Wol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, driven by a strengthening low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, represent the main driver keeping implied probabilities clustered around 24–26°C for Lucknow’s September 3 minimum. Official IMD alerts highlight thunderstorm activity and widespread showers through early September, which suppress daytime heating while elevated humidity and light easterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus from multiple sources points to overnight lows near 24–27°C under mostly cloudy skies, though breaks in rain could allow slightly lower readings. Traders appear to weigh the balance between typical monsoon moderation and potential short-term variability in convective patterns ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$30Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, driven by a strengthening low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, represent the main driver keeping implied probabilities clustered around 24–26°C for Lucknow’s September 3 minimum. Official IMD alerts highlight thunderstorm activity and widespread showers through early September, which suppress daytime heating while elevated humidity and light easterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus from multiple sources points to overnight lows near 24–27°C under mostly cloudy skies, though breaks in rain could allow slightly lower readings. Traders appear to weigh the balance between typical monsoon moderation and potential short-term variability in convective patterns ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$30Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, driven by a strengthening low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, represent the main driver keeping implied probabilities clustered around 24–26°C for Lucknow’s September 3 minimum. Official IMD alerts highlight thunderstorm activity and widespread showers through early September, which suppress daytime heating while elevated humidity and light easterly winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus from multiple sources points to overnight lows near 24–27°C under mostly cloudy skies, though breaks in rain could allow slightly lower readings. Traders appear to weigh the balance between typical monsoon moderation and potential short-term variability in convective patterns ahead of the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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