Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorm activity across Uttar Pradesh, including Lucknow, driven by a weakened but still active southwest monsoon, represent the main near-term influence on September 3 maximum temperatures. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling and maintaining high humidity levels near 80-90%, typically limiting daytime highs to the 29-31°C range according to multiple model outputs. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the IMD September outlook provide a slight upward bias, yet local convective patterns and steering winds favor modest suppression over the next 48 hours. Trader consensus clustering on 30-31°C reflects these competing signals, with resolution hinging on the timing and intensity of any afternoon convection. Updated IMD and global model runs expected within the next day could refine the outcome range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
30°C 29%
31°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
29%
31°C
29%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
10%
30°C 29%
31°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
29%
31°C
29%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and thunderstorm activity across Uttar Pradesh, including Lucknow, driven by a weakened but still active southwest monsoon, represent the main near-term influence on September 3 maximum temperatures. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation while enhancing evaporative cooling and maintaining high humidity levels near 80-90%, typically limiting daytime highs to the 29-31°C range according to multiple model outputs. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in the IMD September outlook provide a slight upward bias, yet local convective patterns and steering winds favor modest suppression over the next 48 hours. Trader consensus clustering on 30-31°C reflects these competing signals, with resolution hinging on the timing and intensity of any afternoon convection. Updated IMD and global model runs expected within the next day could refine the outcome range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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