**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
12°C or below 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$2,591 Wol.
$2,591 Wol.
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
12°C or below 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$2,591 Wol.
$2,591 Wol.
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
$337 Wol.
Yes
13°C
$257 Wol.
No
14°C
$410 Wol.
No
15°C
$497 Wol.
No
16°C
$500 Wol.
No
17°C
$57 Wol.
No
18°C
$78 Wol.
No
19°C
$186 Wol.
No
20°C
$87 Wol.
No
21°C
$91 Wol.
No
22°C or higher
$91 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,591Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,591Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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