Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$9,940 Wol.
$9,940 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$9,940 Wol.
$9,940 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
5°C or below
$212 Wol.
No
6°C
$304 Wol.
No
7°C
$210 Wol.
No
8°C
$290 Wol.
No
9°C
$1,471 Wol.
No
10°C
$2,662 Wol.
Yes
11°C
$718 Wol.
No
12°C
$717 Wol.
No
13°C
$728 Wol.
No
14°C
$2,052 Wol.
No
15°C or higher
$574 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,940Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$9,940Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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