Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Tokyo on September 20 are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping the daily temperature range narrow and anchoring the minimum near 21–22°C. Official model guidance shows a steady influx of moist northerly flow with high humidity exceeding 90 percent and minimal diurnal swing, as daytime highs are projected only slightly above the overnight low around 22–24°C. This pattern contrasts with clearer conditions that would allow greater cooling toward 20°C or below. Trader consensus on the 21°C and 22°C outcomes reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts around these values, with resolution depending on the precise timing of any brief clearing or heavier rainfall bands that could nudge the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of the date will be the key near-term driver.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 20?
22°C 40%
21°C 38%
20°C 24%
19°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
19%
20°C
24%
21°C
38%
22°C
35%
23°C
13%
24°C
8%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
22°C 40%
21°C 38%
20°C 24%
19°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C
$0 Wol.
2%
18°C
$0 Wol.
11%
19°C
$0 Wol.
19%
20°C
$0 Wol.
24%
21°C
$166 Wol.
38%
22°C
$89 Wol.
35%
23°C
$85 Wol.
13%
24°C
$0 Wol.
8%
25°C
$0 Wol.
7%
26°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Tokyo on September 20 are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping the daily temperature range narrow and anchoring the minimum near 21–22°C. Official model guidance shows a steady influx of moist northerly flow with high humidity exceeding 90 percent and minimal diurnal swing, as daytime highs are projected only slightly above the overnight low around 22–24°C. This pattern contrasts with clearer conditions that would allow greater cooling toward 20°C or below. Trader consensus on the 21°C and 22°C outcomes reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts around these values, with resolution depending on the precise timing of any brief clearing or heavier rainfall bands that could nudge the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of the date will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$340Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Tokyo on September 20 are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping the daily temperature range narrow and anchoring the minimum near 21–22°C. Official model guidance shows a steady influx of moist northerly flow with high humidity exceeding 90 percent and minimal diurnal swing, as daytime highs are projected only slightly above the overnight low around 22–24°C. This pattern contrasts with clearer conditions that would allow greater cooling toward 20°C or below. Trader consensus on the 21°C and 22°C outcomes reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts around these values, with resolution depending on the precise timing of any brief clearing or heavier rainfall bands that could nudge the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of the date will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$340Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Tokyo on September 20 are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping the daily temperature range narrow and anchoring the minimum near 21–22°C. Official model guidance shows a steady influx of moist northerly flow with high humidity exceeding 90 percent and minimal diurnal swing, as daytime highs are projected only slightly above the overnight low around 22–24°C. This pattern contrasts with clearer conditions that would allow greater cooling toward 20°C or below. Trader consensus on the 21°C and 22°C outcomes reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts around these values, with resolution depending on the precise timing of any brief clearing or heavier rainfall bands that could nudge the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of the date will be the key near-term driver.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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