Recent short-range model runs from agencies like IMGW and European ensembles show overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds producing a minimum temperature cluster near 12–14°C for Warsaw on August 30. This narrow spread in guidance, reflecting modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing, underpins the near-even market-implied odds across those outcomes. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical lows around 15°C, so current conditions favor slightly cooler readings. Updated high-resolution runs and official 00 UTC and 12 UTC briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the range further before the calendar day ends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
19°C or higher 92%
14°C 91%
16°C 90%
10°C 88%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
5%
10°C
88%
11°C
88%
12°C
46%
13°C
41%
14°C
91%
15°C
37%
16°C
90%
17°C
86%
18°C
83%
19°C or higher
92%
19°C or higher 92%
14°C 91%
16°C 90%
10°C 88%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
$130 Wol.
5%
10°C
$0 Wol.
88%
11°C
$0 Wol.
88%
12°C
$0 Wol.
46%
13°C
$0 Wol.
41%
14°C
$0 Wol.
91%
15°C
$0 Wol.
37%
16°C
$0 Wol.
90%
17°C
$0 Wol.
86%
18°C
$135 Wol.
83%
19°C or higher
$5 Wol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs from agencies like IMGW and European ensembles show overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds producing a minimum temperature cluster near 12–14°C for Warsaw on August 30. This narrow spread in guidance, reflecting modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing, underpins the near-even market-implied odds across those outcomes. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical lows around 15°C, so current conditions favor slightly cooler readings. Updated high-resolution runs and official 00 UTC and 12 UTC briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the range further before the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$270Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs from agencies like IMGW and European ensembles show overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds producing a minimum temperature cluster near 12–14°C for Warsaw on August 30. This narrow spread in guidance, reflecting modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing, underpins the near-even market-implied odds across those outcomes. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical lows around 15°C, so current conditions favor slightly cooler readings. Updated high-resolution runs and official 00 UTC and 12 UTC briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the range further before the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$270Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model runs from agencies like IMGW and European ensembles show overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds producing a minimum temperature cluster near 12–14°C for Warsaw on August 30. This narrow spread in guidance, reflecting modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing, underpins the near-even market-implied odds across those outcomes. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical lows around 15°C, so current conditions favor slightly cooler readings. Updated high-resolution runs and official 00 UTC and 12 UTC briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the range further before the calendar day ends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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