Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol faces stacked convictions from multiple trials stemming from his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a February 2026 life sentence for insurrection and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term in July 2026 for obstructing justice and related charges. Additional rulings this year imposed 30 years for a drone incursion case and shorter terms for abuse of power and political funds violations, with Yoon remaining in detention through mid-2026 amid ongoing appeals. These outcomes under the current administration, combined with procedural timelines for higher-court review, underpin trader consensus at 92.7% probability he stays in custody through December 31, 2026. Release before 2027 would require an improbable presidential pardon or rapid reversal on appeal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
7% szansa
$207,650 Wol.
$207,650 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% szansa
$207,650 Wol.
$207,650 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol faces stacked convictions from multiple trials stemming from his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a February 2026 life sentence for insurrection and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term in July 2026 for obstructing justice and related charges. Additional rulings this year imposed 30 years for a drone incursion case and shorter terms for abuse of power and political funds violations, with Yoon remaining in detention through mid-2026 amid ongoing appeals. These outcomes under the current administration, combined with procedural timelines for higher-court review, underpin trader consensus at 92.7% probability he stays in custody through December 31, 2026. Release before 2027 would require an improbable presidential pardon or rapid reversal on appeal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Wolumen
$207,650Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol faces stacked convictions from multiple trials stemming from his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a February 2026 life sentence for insurrection and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term in July 2026 for obstructing justice and related charges. Additional rulings this year imposed 30 years for a drone incursion case and shorter terms for abuse of power and political funds violations, with Yoon remaining in detention through mid-2026 amid ongoing appeals. These outcomes under the current administration, combined with procedural timelines for higher-court review, underpin trader consensus at 92.7% probability he stays in custody through December 31, 2026. Release before 2027 would require an improbable presidential pardon or rapid reversal on appeal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$207,650Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol faces stacked convictions from multiple trials stemming from his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a February 2026 life sentence for insurrection and a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term in July 2026 for obstructing justice and related charges. Additional rulings this year imposed 30 years for a drone incursion case and shorter terms for abuse of power and political funds violations, with Yoon remaining in detention through mid-2026 amid ongoing appeals. These outcomes under the current administration, combined with procedural timelines for higher-court review, underpin trader consensus at 92.7% probability he stays in custody through December 31, 2026. Release before 2027 would require an improbable presidential pardon or rapid reversal on appeal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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