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Out predictions & odds

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Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

43%

$3.8K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 27 days

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

9%

$114K Vol.

$145K Liq.

23

Ends in 8 months

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

27%

1

$2.7K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

8%

$270K Vol.

$255K today

$31.2K Liq.

106

Ends in 27 days

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$102K today

$367K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

98%

May 31

$3M Vol.

$98.8K today

$381K Liq.

69

Ends in 10 days

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

1%

$229K Vol.

$69.0K today

$142K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

2%

$5M Vol.

$68.8K today

$333K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

64%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$194K Liq.

683

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

95%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$7M Vol.

$586K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

64%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$135K Liq.

112

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$93.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M Vol.

$208K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

14%

$8M Vol.

$816K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

50%

December 31

$271K Vol.

$54.4K Liq.

12

Ends in 8 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

56%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$160K Liq.

63

Ends in about 2 months

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$1M Vol.

$149K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$9M Vol.

$396K Liq.

705

Ends in 8 months

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

97%

December 31

$224K Vol.

$34.5K Liq.

17

Ends in about 2 months

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

93

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Out.

Polymarket currently hosts 606 active markets for Out that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Major US official out by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $181.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Out predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.