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Política·Eleição Principal

Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner

icon for Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
Política·Eleição Principal

Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner

Salma Luévano Luna 66%

Arturo Ávila Anaya 39%

Leonardo Montañez Castro 8%

Antonio Martín del Campo 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Salma Luévano Luna 66%

Arturo Ávila Anaya 39%

Leonardo Montañez Castro 8%

Antonio Martín del Campo 7%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Salma Luévano Luna

Salma Luévano Luna

$67 Vol.

66%

icon for Arturo Ávila Anaya

Arturo Ávila Anaya

$67 Vol.

39%

icon for Leonardo Montañez Castro

Leonardo Montañez Castro

$841 Vol.

8%

icon for Antonio Martín del Campo

Antonio Martín del Campo

$67 Vol.

7%

icon for Aldo Ruiz Sánchez

Aldo Ruiz Sánchez

$67 Vol.

6%

icon for Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo

Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo

$84 Vol.

6%

icon for Karla Arely Espinoza

Karla Arely Espinoza

$77 Vol.

5%

icon for Anayeli Muñoz Moreno

Anayeli Muñoz Moreno

$87 Vol.

5%

icon for Genny Janeth López Valenzuela

Genny Janeth López Valenzuela

$67 Vol.

5%

icon for Kendor Macías

Kendor Macías

$87 Vol.

4%

icon for Ana Gómez Calzada

Ana Gómez Calzada

$93 Vol.

22%

icon for Leticia Olivares

Leticia Olivares

$77 Vol.

34%

icon for Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez

Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez

$116 Vol.

45%

icon for Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas

Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas

$67 Vol.

-

icon for Lorena Martínez Rodríguez

Lorena Martínez Rodríguez

$67 Vol.

35%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Aguascalientes gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the 2027 contest, with no candidate establishing a clear lead amid a crowded field that includes figures from Morena, PAN-aligned groups, and other parties. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through clustered probabilities, driven by limited polling data, ongoing party negotiations over alliances or coalitions, and early positioning by contenders such as Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez and Lorena Martínez Rodríguez. Historical patterns of competitive opposition performance in the state, combined with the absence of decisive primary outcomes or major endorsements, sustain the tight market. Upcoming candidate registration deadlines, internal party votes, or shifts in national political dynamics could begin to consolidate support and widen separations among the top names.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,928
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Aguascalientes gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the 2027 contest, with no candidate establishing a clear lead amid a crowded field that includes figures from Morena, PAN-aligned groups, and other parties. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through clustered probabilities, driven by limited polling data, ongoing party negotiations over alliances or coalitions, and early positioning by contenders such as Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez and Lorena Martínez Rodríguez. Historical patterns of competitive opposition performance in the state, combined with the absence of decisive primary outcomes or major endorsements, sustain the tight market. Upcoming candidate registration deadlines, internal party votes, or shifts in national political dynamics could begin to consolidate support and widen separations among the top names.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,928
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez" at 45%, followed by "Arturo Ávila Anaya" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner" is "Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arturo Ávila Anaya" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.