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Eleições·Eleições Globais

Eleição Parlamentar Búlgara: 3º Lugar

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Globais

Eleição Parlamentar Búlgara: 3º Lugar

PP–DB 78%

DPS 15%

Vazrazhdane 5.8%

GERB-SDS 1.4%

Polymarket

$79,508 Vol.

PP–DB 78%

DPS 15%

Vazrazhdane 5.8%

GERB-SDS 1.4%

Polymarket

$79,508 Vol.

Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

PP–DB

$23,579 Vol.

78%

Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

DPS

$12,583 Vol.

15%

O Revival (Vazrazhdane) ficará em terceiro lugar nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

Vazrazhdane

$3,033 Vol.

6%

Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

GERB-SDS

$9,484 Vol.

1%

Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

MECh

$3,238 Vol.

<1%

Will United Left (BSP) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

BSP

$20,073 Vol.

<1%

Will There is Such a People (ITN) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

ITN

$2,065 Vol.

<1%

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

PB

$1,575 Vol.

<1%

Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

APS

$2,076 Vol.

<1%

Will Velichie (Velichie) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

Velichie

$1,802 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors PP–DB to finish third in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, mirroring consistent polling averages where Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, leads at 28–33%, followed by GERB–SDS at 19–23%, and PP–DB at 11–13%. Recent surveys like CAM (April 14) and Sova Harris (April 6) reinforce this order, with DPS close behind at 9–11%, explaining its 15% implied probability. This eighth snap vote since 2021 under proportional representation reflects voter fatigue and fragmentation, amplified by PB's anti-establishment surge amid government collapse last December. Crackdowns on vote-buying and low turnout expectations (around 51%) add uncertainty, but polls show stability ahead of election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$79,508
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors PP–DB to finish third in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, mirroring consistent polling averages where Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former president Rumen Radev, leads at 28–33%, followed by GERB–SDS at 19–23%, and PP–DB at 11–13%. Recent surveys like CAM (April 14) and Sova Harris (April 6) reinforce this order, with DPS close behind at 9–11%, explaining its 15% implied probability. This eighth snap vote since 2021 under proportional representation reflects voter fatigue and fragmentation, amplified by PB's anti-establishment surge amid government collapse last December. Crackdowns on vote-buying and low turnout expectations (around 51%) add uncertainty, but polls show stability ahead of election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$79,508
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Parlamentar Búlgara: 3º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "PP–DB" at 78%, followed by "DPS" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição Parlamentar Búlgara: 3º Lugar" has generated $79.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição Parlamentar Búlgara: 3º Lugar," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Parlamentar Búlgara: 3º Lugar" is "PP–DB" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "DPS" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Parlamentar Búlgara: 3º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.