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Política·Bulgária

Eleições parlamentares búlgaras: que partidos entram no parlamento?

Market icon
Política·Bulgária

Eleições parlamentares búlgaras: que partidos entram no parlamento?

$104,342 Vol.

19 abr 2026
Polymarket

$104,342 Vol.

Polymarket
A Esquerda Unida (BSP) ganhará pelo menos um assento nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

BSP

$31,017 Vol.

45%

A Moralidade, Unidade, Honra (MECh) ganhará pelo menos um assento nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

MECh

$7,036 Vol.

22%

O Velichie (Velichie) ganhará pelo menos uma cadeira nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

Velichie

$40,570 Vol.

10%

O Haverá Tal Povo (ITN) ganhará pelo menos um assento nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

ITN

$11,856 Vol.

2%

A Aliança pelos Direitos e Liberdades (APS) ganhará pelo menos um assento nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

APS

$13,863 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid budget protests and corruption allegations, perpetuating political deadlock. Recent polls from CAM, Sova Harris, and Gallup (early to mid-April 2026) project five to six parties crossing the 4% national threshold under proportional representation: Progressive Bulgaria (former President Rumen Radev's new anti-oligarch platform leading at 30-33%), GERB-SDS (19-23%), PP-DB (11-13%), DPS (10%), Revival (7%), and BSP-OL (4-4.5%). Intensified vote-buying crackdowns with arrests and over €1 million seized have heightened scrutiny, while PACE and OSCE observers monitor proceedings; high turnout could tip marginal contenders.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$104,342
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election since 2021 on April 19, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid budget protests and corruption allegations, perpetuating political deadlock. Recent polls from CAM, Sova Harris, and Gallup (early to mid-April 2026) project five to six parties crossing the 4% national threshold under proportional representation: Progressive Bulgaria (former President Rumen Radev's new anti-oligarch platform leading at 30-33%), GERB-SDS (19-23%), PP-DB (11-13%), DPS (10%), Revival (7%), and BSP-OL (4-4.5%). Intensified vote-buying crackdowns with arrests and over €1 million seized have heightened scrutiny, while PACE and OSCE observers monitor proceedings; high turnout could tip marginal contenders.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$104,342
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleições parlamentares búlgaras: que partidos entram no parlamento?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "BSP" at 45%, followed by "MECh" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleições parlamentares búlgaras: que partidos entram no parlamento?" has generated $104.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleições parlamentares búlgaras: que partidos entram no parlamento?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleições parlamentares búlgaras: que partidos entram no parlamento?" is "BSP" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "MECh" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleições parlamentares búlgaras: que partidos entram no parlamento?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.