Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district heading into the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean and his strong prior performance. The district's partisan voting index and recent election results underscore consistent voter preference for Democratic candidates. Primary voters on June 2 will narrow the field ahead of the November 3 general, with no major Republican challengers emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with historical patterns in solidly blue districts, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still influence outcomes before ballots are cast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa do CA-15
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa do CA-15
$114,310 Vol.
$114,310 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
3%
$114,310 Vol.
$114,310 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$92,581 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$21,729 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district heading into the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean and his strong prior performance. The district's partisan voting index and recent election results underscore consistent voter preference for Democratic candidates. Primary voters on June 2 will narrow the field ahead of the November 3 general, with no major Republican challengers emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with historical patterns in solidly blue districts, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still influence outcomes before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$114,310Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district heading into the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean and his strong prior performance. The district's partisan voting index and recent election results underscore consistent voter preference for Democratic candidates. Primary voters on June 2 will narrow the field ahead of the November 3 general, with no major Republican challengers emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with historical patterns in solidly blue districts, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still influence outcomes before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$114,310Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district heading into the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean and his strong prior performance. The district's partisan voting index and recent election results underscore consistent voter preference for Democratic candidates. Primary voters on June 2 will narrow the field ahead of the November 3 general, with no major Republican challengers emerging to date. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with historical patterns in solidly blue districts, though late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unexpected national shifts could still influence outcomes before ballots are cast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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