California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. The seat became open after incumbent Eric Swalwell resigned in April amid allegations of misconduct, prompting both a regular top-two primary on June 2 and a special primary on June 16 to fill the remainder of the term, with a potential special general in August. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Senator Aisha Wahab and former Dublin mayor Melissa Hernandez, are competing alongside Republican contenders such as Wendy Huang. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic based on the district's partisan voting history and registration edge, though an upset in the special election or significant late developments could alter the general election outcome in November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Câmara do CA-14
Vencedor da eleição da Câmara do CA-14
$26,529 Vol.
$26,529 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$26,529 Vol.
$26,529 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$8,560 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$17,969 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. The seat became open after incumbent Eric Swalwell resigned in April amid allegations of misconduct, prompting both a regular top-two primary on June 2 and a special primary on June 16 to fill the remainder of the term, with a potential special general in August. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Senator Aisha Wahab and former Dublin mayor Melissa Hernandez, are competing alongside Republican contenders such as Wendy Huang. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic based on the district's partisan voting history and registration edge, though an upset in the special election or significant late developments could alter the general election outcome in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$26,529Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. The seat became open after incumbent Eric Swalwell resigned in April amid allegations of misconduct, prompting both a regular top-two primary on June 2 and a special primary on June 16 to fill the remainder of the term, with a potential special general in August. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Senator Aisha Wahab and former Dublin mayor Melissa Hernandez, are competing alongside Republican contenders such as Wendy Huang. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic based on the district's partisan voting history and registration edge, though an upset in the special election or significant late developments could alter the general election outcome in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,529Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. The seat became open after incumbent Eric Swalwell resigned in April amid allegations of misconduct, prompting both a regular top-two primary on June 2 and a special primary on June 16 to fill the remainder of the term, with a potential special general in August. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Senator Aisha Wahab and former Dublin mayor Melissa Hernandez, are competing alongside Republican contenders such as Wendy Huang. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic based on the district's partisan voting history and registration edge, though an upset in the special election or significant late developments could alter the general election outcome in November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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