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icon for Vencedor da eleição para vice-governador da Califórnia

Vencedor da eleição para vice-governador da Califórnia

icon for Vencedor da eleição para vice-governador da Califórnia

Vencedor da eleição para vice-governador da Califórnia

Fiona Ma 95%

Rakesh Christian 1.9%

Josh Fryday 1.5%

Janelle Kellman 1.4%

Polymarket

$30,781 Vol.

Fiona Ma 95%

Rakesh Christian 1.9%

Josh Fryday 1.5%

Janelle Kellman 1.4%

Polymarket

$30,781 Vol.

Fiona Ma

$12,201 Vol.

95%

Rakesh Christian

$1,540 Vol.

2%

Josh Fryday

$3,317 Vol.

2%

Janelle Kellman

$1,403 Vol.

1%

Ebie Lynch

$1,366 Vol.

1%

Oliver Ma

$3,839 Vol.

1%

David Fennell

$1,290 Vol.

1%

Jeyson Lopez

$1,273 Vol.

1%

Sean Collinson

$1,220 Vol.

<1%

David Collenberg

$1,476 Vol.

<1%

Michael Tubbs

$1,856 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Fiona Ma secured the Democratic nomination for California lieutenant governor by topping the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 19 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Gloria Romero after other Democratic contenders split the remaining support. As state treasurer with extensive prior experience in the legislature and on statewide boards, Ma consolidated endorsements from major labor organizations and demonstrated broad geographic strength in Democratic-leaning areas. California’s consistent partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns in statewide contests underpin trader consensus around her position heading into the November general election. Late developments such as unusually high Republican turnout, significant campaign finance shifts, or unforeseen national political events could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$30,781
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Fiona Ma secured the Democratic nomination for California lieutenant governor by topping the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 19 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Gloria Romero after other Democratic contenders split the remaining support. As state treasurer with extensive prior experience in the legislature and on statewide boards, Ma consolidated endorsements from major labor organizations and demonstrated broad geographic strength in Democratic-leaning areas. California’s consistent partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns in statewide contests underpin trader consensus around her position heading into the November general election. Late developments such as unusually high Republican turnout, significant campaign finance shifts, or unforeseen national political events could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$30,781
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para vice-governador da Califórnia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fiona Ma" at 95%, followed by "Rakesh Christian" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para vice-governador da Califórnia" has generated $30.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para vice-governador da Califórnia," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para vice-governador da Califórnia" is "Fiona Ma" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rakesh Christian" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para vice-governador da Califórnia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.