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icon for Quem avançará das primárias do vice-governador da Califórnia?

Quem avançará das primárias do vice-governador da Califórnia?

icon for Quem avançará das primárias do vice-governador da Califórnia?

Quem avançará das primárias do vice-governador da Califórnia?

$14,914 Vol.

3 nov 2026
Polymarket

$14,914 Vol.

Polymarket

Rakesh Christian

$1,675 Vol.

No

Sean Collinson

$1,682 Vol.

No

Josh Fryday

$505 Vol.

No

Jeyson Lopez

$2,179 Vol.

No

Fiona Ma

$1,185 Vol.

Yes

David Collenberg

$1,038 Vol.

No

David Fennell

$1,446 Vol.

No

Janelle Kellman

$619 Vol.

No

Ebie Lynch

$1,384 Vol.

No

Oliver Ma

$1,680 Vol.

No

Michael Tubbs

$1,521 Vol.

No

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's open lieutenant governor race features a nonpartisan top-two primary held June 2, 2026, with the incumbent term-limited and seeking another office. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Treasurer Fiona Ma, former Stockton mayor Michael Tubbs, and Newsom administration official Josh Fryday, split the party's vote share, enabling Republican Gloria Romero—running on a joint ticket with gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton—to secure second place behind Ma in early results. Polling prior to the primary showed Ma leading but with several contenders clustered closely behind, reflecting low voter visibility for the largely ceremonial role and emphasis on issues like higher education access. Vote counting continues, with the top two advancing to the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,914
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's open lieutenant governor race features a nonpartisan top-two primary held June 2, 2026, with the incumbent term-limited and seeking another office. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Treasurer Fiona Ma, former Stockton mayor Michael Tubbs, and Newsom administration official Josh Fryday, split the party's vote share, enabling Republican Gloria Romero—running on a joint ticket with gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton—to secure second place behind Ma in early results. Polling prior to the primary showed Ma leading but with several contenders clustered closely behind, reflecting low voter visibility for the largely ceremonial role and emphasis on issues like higher education access. Vote counting continues, with the top two advancing to the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,914
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem avançará das primárias do vice-governador da Califórnia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fiona Ma" at 100%, followed by "Rakesh Christian" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem avançará das primárias do vice-governador da Califórnia?" has generated $14.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem avançará das primárias do vice-governador da Califórnia?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem avançará das primárias do vice-governador da Califórnia?" is "Fiona Ma" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rakesh Christian" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem avançará das primárias do vice-governador da Califórnia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.