Recent moderation in June Core CPI, which printed flat month-over-month versus 0.2% in May and below consensus, has anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% July reading at 51% implied probability. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place July Core CPI MoM at 0.21% as of July 31, reflecting continued easing in shelter and select services categories alongside softer goods prices. This positions the 0.1% and 0.3% outcomes as secondary possibilities at 22% and 25%, respectively, while tail risks for 0.4% or higher remain limited amid subdued labor-market pressures and stable energy trends. The August 12 release will resolve the market, with any deviation from the 0.2% central tendency likely hinging on shelter components or tariff pass-through effects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCore CPI MoM - Julho de 2026
Core CPI MoM - Julho de 2026
0,2% 51.0%
0,3% 25.1%
0,1% 22.3%
≤0,0% 2.5%
$84,886 Vol.
$84,886 Vol.
12 ago 2026
≤0,0%
2%
0,1%
22%
0,2%
51%
0,3%
25%
0,4%
1%
0,5%
1%
0,6%+
2%
0,2% 51.0%
0,3% 25.1%
0,1% 22.3%
≤0,0% 2.5%
$84,886 Vol.
$84,886 Vol.
12 ago 2026
≤0,0%
$4,420 Vol.
2%
0,1%
$21,241 Vol.
22%
0,2%
$30,642 Vol.
51%
0,3%
$18,042 Vol.
25%
0,4%
$4,872 Vol.
1%
0,5%
$3,023 Vol.
1%
0,6%+
$2,646 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in June Core CPI, which printed flat month-over-month versus 0.2% in May and below consensus, has anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% July reading at 51% implied probability. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place July Core CPI MoM at 0.21% as of July 31, reflecting continued easing in shelter and select services categories alongside softer goods prices. This positions the 0.1% and 0.3% outcomes as secondary possibilities at 22% and 25%, respectively, while tail risks for 0.4% or higher remain limited amid subdued labor-market pressures and stable energy trends. The August 12 release will resolve the market, with any deviation from the 0.2% central tendency likely hinging on shelter components or tariff pass-through effects.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Volume
$84,886Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in June Core CPI, which printed flat month-over-month versus 0.2% in May and below consensus, has anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% July reading at 51% implied probability. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place July Core CPI MoM at 0.21% as of July 31, reflecting continued easing in shelter and select services categories alongside softer goods prices. This positions the 0.1% and 0.3% outcomes as secondary possibilities at 22% and 25%, respectively, while tail risks for 0.4% or higher remain limited amid subdued labor-market pressures and stable energy trends. The August 12 release will resolve the market, with any deviation from the 0.2% central tendency likely hinging on shelter components or tariff pass-through effects.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$84,886Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in June Core CPI, which printed flat month-over-month versus 0.2% in May and below consensus, has anchored trader expectations for a 0.2% July reading at 51% implied probability. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place July Core CPI MoM at 0.21% as of July 31, reflecting continued easing in shelter and select services categories alongside softer goods prices. This positions the 0.1% and 0.3% outcomes as secondary possibilities at 22% and 25%, respectively, while tail risks for 0.4% or higher remain limited amid subdued labor-market pressures and stable energy trends. The August 12 release will resolve the market, with any deviation from the 0.2% central tendency likely hinging on shelter components or tariff pass-through effects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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