Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Jim Himes secured the Democratic nomination without a primary contest, while Republican Michael Goldstein advanced from a low-turnout August primary against limited opposition. These structural advantages, combined with the district's voting history and absence of competitive polling or notable shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential challengers to this position would require an unusually large national Republican wave, a significant scandal, or major candidate withdrawal to meaningfully alter the outcome ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara CT-04
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara CT-04
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
96%
Partido Republicano
4%
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$21,773 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$25,567 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Jim Himes secured the Democratic nomination without a primary contest, while Republican Michael Goldstein advanced from a low-turnout August primary against limited opposition. These structural advantages, combined with the district's voting history and absence of competitive polling or notable shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential challengers to this position would require an unusually large national Republican wave, a significant scandal, or major candidate withdrawal to meaningfully alter the outcome ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$47,340Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Jim Himes secured the Democratic nomination without a primary contest, while Republican Michael Goldstein advanced from a low-turnout August primary against limited opposition. These structural advantages, combined with the district's voting history and absence of competitive polling or notable shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential challengers to this position would require an unusually large national Republican wave, a significant scandal, or major candidate withdrawal to meaningfully alter the outcome ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,340Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Jim Himes secured the Democratic nomination without a primary contest, while Republican Michael Goldstein advanced from a low-turnout August primary against limited opposition. These structural advantages, combined with the district's voting history and absence of competitive polling or notable shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Potential challengers to this position would require an unusually large national Republican wave, a significant scandal, or major candidate withdrawal to meaningfully alter the outcome ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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