Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes seeks re-election in Connecticut’s 4th district, rated D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and the state’s most Democratic seat. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and the general election on November 3, traders assign the party a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge and recent district endorsements, while Republican primary contenders have raised limited funds and face structural disadvantages in a district that has elected Democrats continuously since 2009. The market reflects these fundamentals, though an unforeseen scandal, primary upset, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara CT-04
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara CT-04
$33,995 Vol.
$33,995 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
5%
$33,995 Vol.
$33,995 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$14,042 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$19,953 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes seeks re-election in Connecticut’s 4th district, rated D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and the state’s most Democratic seat. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and the general election on November 3, traders assign the party a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge and recent district endorsements, while Republican primary contenders have raised limited funds and face structural disadvantages in a district that has elected Democrats continuously since 2009. The market reflects these fundamentals, though an unforeseen scandal, primary upset, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$33,995Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes seeks re-election in Connecticut’s 4th district, rated D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and the state’s most Democratic seat. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and the general election on November 3, traders assign the party a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge and recent district endorsements, while Republican primary contenders have raised limited funds and face structural disadvantages in a district that has elected Democrats continuously since 2009. The market reflects these fundamentals, though an unforeseen scandal, primary upset, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,995Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes seeks re-election in Connecticut’s 4th district, rated D+13 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and the state’s most Democratic seat. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and the general election on November 3, traders assign the party a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge and recent district endorsements, while Republican primary contenders have raised limited funds and face structural disadvantages in a district that has elected Democrats continuously since 2009. The market reflects these fundamentals, though an unforeseen scandal, primary upset, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still alter the outcome before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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