Florida's 12th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Gus Bilirakis's 71 percent victory in 2024. Bilirakis, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary, benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and the district's post-redistricting boundaries that encompass Republican-leaning areas of Pasco County and northwest Hillsborough. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados da FL-12
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados da FL-12
$57,094 Vol.
$57,094 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Democrata
9%
$57,094 Vol.
$57,094 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$23,125 Vol.
93%
Partido Democrata
$33,969 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Gus Bilirakis's 71 percent victory in 2024. Bilirakis, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary, benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and the district's post-redistricting boundaries that encompass Republican-leaning areas of Pasco County and northwest Hillsborough. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$57,094Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Gus Bilirakis's 71 percent victory in 2024. Bilirakis, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary, benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and the district's post-redistricting boundaries that encompass Republican-leaning areas of Pasco County and northwest Hillsborough. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,094Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Gus Bilirakis's 71 percent victory in 2024. Bilirakis, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary, benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and the district's post-redistricting boundaries that encompass Republican-leaning areas of Pasco County and northwest Hillsborough. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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