Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by an 11-term record, substantial fundraising, and an uncontested Republican primary. The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and recent mid-decade redistricting that preserved a clear Republican tilt underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Republican probability. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who narrowly won her August primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat where recent presidential results and historical midterm patterns favor the GOP. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though forecasters continue to rate the race Solid or Likely Republican.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados da FL-12
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados da FL-12
$57,094 Vol.
$57,094 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Democrata
9%
$57,094 Vol.
$57,094 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$23,125 Vol.
93%
Partido Democrata
$33,969 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by an 11-term record, substantial fundraising, and an uncontested Republican primary. The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and recent mid-decade redistricting that preserved a clear Republican tilt underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Republican probability. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who narrowly won her August primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat where recent presidential results and historical midterm patterns favor the GOP. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though forecasters continue to rate the race Solid or Likely Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$57,094Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by an 11-term record, substantial fundraising, and an uncontested Republican primary. The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and recent mid-decade redistricting that preserved a clear Republican tilt underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Republican probability. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who narrowly won her August primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat where recent presidential results and historical midterm patterns favor the GOP. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though forecasters continue to rate the race Solid or Likely Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,094Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by an 11-term record, substantial fundraising, and an uncontested Republican primary. The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and recent mid-decade redistricting that preserved a clear Republican tilt underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Republican probability. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who narrowly won her August primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat where recent presidential results and historical midterm patterns favor the GOP. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan swing, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though forecasters continue to rate the race Solid or Likely Republican.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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