Official forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. Model consensus aligns with this value near or slightly above seasonal norms, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk supporting the market-implied 95% probability for exactly 25°C. Trader positioning reflects real-time data from authoritative sources rather than speculation. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted warm advection could push readings to 26°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance make such outcomes unlikely before resolution based on official station maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 12 de setembro?
25°C 96%
26°C 4%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$14,164 Vol.
$14,164 Vol.
12 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
96%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 96%
26°C 4%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$14,164 Vol.
$14,164 Vol.
12 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$255 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,914 Vol.
96%
26°C
$5,096 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,231 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,339 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$813 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$605 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. Model consensus aligns with this value near or slightly above seasonal norms, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk supporting the market-implied 95% probability for exactly 25°C. Trader positioning reflects real-time data from authoritative sources rather than speculation. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted warm advection could push readings to 26°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance make such outcomes unlikely before resolution based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$14,164Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. Model consensus aligns with this value near or slightly above seasonal norms, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk supporting the market-implied 95% probability for exactly 25°C. Trader positioning reflects real-time data from authoritative sources rather than speculation. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted warm advection could push readings to 26°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance make such outcomes unlikely before resolution based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,164Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 25°C in Istanbul on September 12, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate northeasterly winds limiting daytime heating. Model consensus aligns with this value near or slightly above seasonal norms, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk supporting the market-implied 95% probability for exactly 25°C. Trader positioning reflects real-time data from authoritative sources rather than speculation. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted warm advection could push readings to 26°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance make such outcomes unlikely before resolution based on official station maxima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions