Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on September 13, with daytime highs most likely reaching 24–26°C amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with typical mid-September climatology, where maximum temperatures average near 23–25°C. The market's emphasis on 22–23°C outcomes reflects trader weighting of ensemble spreads that allow for greater cooling if precipitation develops earlier or more persistently than baseline runs suggest. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings, with fresh model updates expected overnight providing the final inputs before markets close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 13 de setembro?
22°C 45%
23°C 36%
21°C 10%
24°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
20°C ou menos
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
45%
23°C
36%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 36%
21°C 10%
24°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$125 Vol.
2%
21°C
$174 Vol.
10%
22°C
$346 Vol.
45%
23°C
$257 Vol.
36%
24°C
$100 Vol.
9%
25°C
$83 Vol.
3%
26°C
$226 Vol.
1%
27°C
$133 Vol.
1%
28°C
$101 Vol.
1%
29°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on September 13, with daytime highs most likely reaching 24–26°C amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with typical mid-September climatology, where maximum temperatures average near 23–25°C. The market's emphasis on 22–23°C outcomes reflects trader weighting of ensemble spreads that allow for greater cooling if precipitation develops earlier or more persistently than baseline runs suggest. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings, with fresh model updates expected overnight providing the final inputs before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,835Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on September 13, with daytime highs most likely reaching 24–26°C amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with typical mid-September climatology, where maximum temperatures average near 23–25°C. The market's emphasis on 22–23°C outcomes reflects trader weighting of ensemble spreads that allow for greater cooling if precipitation develops earlier or more persistently than baseline runs suggest. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings, with fresh model updates expected overnight providing the final inputs before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,835Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on September 13, with daytime highs most likely reaching 24–26°C amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with typical mid-September climatology, where maximum temperatures average near 23–25°C. The market's emphasis on 22–23°C outcomes reflects trader weighting of ensemble spreads that allow for greater cooling if precipitation develops earlier or more persistently than baseline runs suggest. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings, with fresh model updates expected overnight providing the final inputs before markets close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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