Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daytime high near 33°C in Lucknow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, with easterly winds around 10-15 km/h and isolated thundershower chances that limit full solar heating. This aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability for 33°C and secondary support for 34°C, reflecting typical late-monsoon moderation rather than peak heat. Historical September averages hover near 32-34°C, and no strong warming signals or clear-sky breakthroughs have emerged in the latest runs to shift odds toward 35°C or higher. Updated model outputs and official IMD briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 13 de setembro?
33°C 46%
34°C 30%
32°C 12%
35°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
46%
34°C
30%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 30%
32°C 12%
35°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$249 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$270 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$73 Vol.
2%
31°C
$147 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,798 Vol.
12%
33°C
$662 Vol.
46%
34°C
$347 Vol.
30%
35°C
$694 Vol.
9%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou mais
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daytime high near 33°C in Lucknow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, with easterly winds around 10-15 km/h and isolated thundershower chances that limit full solar heating. This aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability for 33°C and secondary support for 34°C, reflecting typical late-monsoon moderation rather than peak heat. Historical September averages hover near 32-34°C, and no strong warming signals or clear-sky breakthroughs have emerged in the latest runs to shift odds toward 35°C or higher. Updated model outputs and official IMD briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,456Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daytime high near 33°C in Lucknow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, with easterly winds around 10-15 km/h and isolated thundershower chances that limit full solar heating. This aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability for 33°C and secondary support for 34°C, reflecting typical late-monsoon moderation rather than peak heat. Historical September averages hover near 32-34°C, and no strong warming signals or clear-sky breakthroughs have emerged in the latest runs to shift odds toward 35°C or higher. Updated model outputs and official IMD briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,456Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daytime high near 33°C in Lucknow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, with easterly winds around 10-15 km/h and isolated thundershower chances that limit full solar heating. This aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability for 33°C and secondary support for 34°C, reflecting typical late-monsoon moderation rather than peak heat. Historical September averages hover near 32-34°C, and no strong warming signals or clear-sky breakthroughs have emerged in the latest runs to shift odds toward 35°C or higher. Updated model outputs and official IMD briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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