Current forecast models indicate Mexico City highs near 19–22°C on August 24 amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently suppress peak temperatures at the city's high elevation. Scattered thunderstorms and variable insolation create narrow differences between 20°C and 21°C outcomes, with traders weighting model consensus on timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August averages near 23°C provide baseline context, yet recent daily observations show frequent cooling from showers. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the tightly matched probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 24 de agosto?
20°C 46%
21°C 32%
17°C 14%
19°C 14%
15°C ou menos
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
14%
18°C
7%
19°C
14%
20°C
35%
21°C
32%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
6%
25°C ou mais
1%
20°C 46%
21°C 32%
17°C 14%
19°C 14%
15°C ou menos
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
14%
18°C
7%
19°C
14%
20°C
35%
21°C
32%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
6%
25°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Mexico City highs near 19–22°C on August 24 amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently suppress peak temperatures at the city's high elevation. Scattered thunderstorms and variable insolation create narrow differences between 20°C and 21°C outcomes, with traders weighting model consensus on timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August averages near 23°C provide baseline context, yet recent daily observations show frequent cooling from showers. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the tightly matched probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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