Forecast uncertainty from regional models is driving the tight spread in trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 24 overnight low, with no single outcome exceeding 32% implied probability. Mexico City's high elevation and August monsoon regime create high sensitivity to cloud cover, rainfall timing, and radiative cooling rates overnight; clearer conditions would favor the 9°C-or-below bin while persistent cloudiness or showers supports mid-teen outcomes. Recent model runs show modest cooling signals from a passing trough, yet ensemble spread remains wide due to variable moisture transport. Official updates from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and refreshed global model guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 24 de agosto?
9°C ou menos 63%
14°C 28%
13°C 20%
15°C 20%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
9°C ou menos
63%
10°C
12%
11°C
10%
12°C
15%
13°C
20%
14°C
28%
15°C
20%
16°C
11%
17°C
6%
18°C
11%
19°C ou mais
2%
9°C ou menos 63%
14°C 28%
13°C 20%
15°C 20%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
9°C ou menos
$62 Vol.
63%
10°C
$55 Vol.
12%
11°C
$0 Vol.
10%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$0 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
11%
17°C
$65 Vol.
6%
18°C
$135 Vol.
11%
19°C ou mais
$135 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from regional models is driving the tight spread in trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 24 overnight low, with no single outcome exceeding 32% implied probability. Mexico City's high elevation and August monsoon regime create high sensitivity to cloud cover, rainfall timing, and radiative cooling rates overnight; clearer conditions would favor the 9°C-or-below bin while persistent cloudiness or showers supports mid-teen outcomes. Recent model runs show modest cooling signals from a passing trough, yet ensemble spread remains wide due to variable moisture transport. Official updates from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and refreshed global model guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$452Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from regional models is driving the tight spread in trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 24 overnight low, with no single outcome exceeding 32% implied probability. Mexico City's high elevation and August monsoon regime create high sensitivity to cloud cover, rainfall timing, and radiative cooling rates overnight; clearer conditions would favor the 9°C-or-below bin while persistent cloudiness or showers supports mid-teen outcomes. Recent model runs show modest cooling signals from a passing trough, yet ensemble spread remains wide due to variable moisture transport. Official updates from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and refreshed global model guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$452Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty from regional models is driving the tight spread in trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 24 overnight low, with no single outcome exceeding 32% implied probability. Mexico City's high elevation and August monsoon regime create high sensitivity to cloud cover, rainfall timing, and radiative cooling rates overnight; clearer conditions would favor the 9°C-or-below bin while persistent cloudiness or showers supports mid-teen outcomes. Recent model runs show modest cooling signals from a passing trough, yet ensemble spread remains wide due to variable moisture transport. Official updates from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and refreshed global model guidance expected later today will likely narrow the range ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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