Mexico City's high-altitude location (roughly 2,240 meters) and August rainy season create significant overnight cooling potential, with minimum temperatures typically driven by radiative heat loss under clear skies versus moderation from cloud cover and showers. Current forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models point to typical lows near 12–14°C on August 23 amid scattered rain and overcast conditions that limit extreme drops. This scientific uncertainty—variable convection, humidity, and steering patterns—explains the tight market clustering around outcomes from single digits to the high teens, as traders weigh the balance between clear-sky cooling and precipitation effects ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 23 de agosto?
18°C 95%
9°C ou menos 91%
19°C ou mais 90%
13°C 46%
9°C ou menos
91%
10°C
2%
11°C
33%
12°C
33%
13°C
46%
14°C
26%
15°C
45%
16°C
33%
17°C
24%
18°C
95%
19°C ou mais
90%
18°C 95%
9°C ou menos 91%
19°C ou mais 90%
13°C 46%
9°C ou menos
91%
10°C
2%
11°C
33%
12°C
33%
13°C
46%
14°C
26%
15°C
45%
16°C
33%
17°C
24%
18°C
95%
19°C ou mais
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-altitude location (roughly 2,240 meters) and August rainy season create significant overnight cooling potential, with minimum temperatures typically driven by radiative heat loss under clear skies versus moderation from cloud cover and showers. Current forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models point to typical lows near 12–14°C on August 23 amid scattered rain and overcast conditions that limit extreme drops. This scientific uncertainty—variable convection, humidity, and steering patterns—explains the tight market clustering around outcomes from single digits to the high teens, as traders weigh the balance between clear-sky cooling and precipitation effects ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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