Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 70–71°F for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, amid a regional heat wave that has elevated overnight lows several degrees above the 1991–2020 average of 65°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show persistent clear skies and light southwest winds limiting radiative cooling, with the prior night’s low reaching 70°F and daytime highs exceeding 90°F. This warm, stable pattern driven by offshore flow and minimal marine layer intrusion supports the market’s 99% implied probability for the 70–71°F bin. A stronger-than-expected onshore breeze or unexpected low-cloud development could allow greater cooling toward 68°F, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 24 de agosto?
70-71°F 99%
68-69°F 2%
66-67°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$2,604 Vol.
$2,604 Vol.
61°F ou menos
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F ou mais
<1%
70-71°F 99%
68-69°F 2%
66-67°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$2,604 Vol.
$2,604 Vol.
61°F ou menos
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 70–71°F for Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, amid a regional heat wave that has elevated overnight lows several degrees above the 1991–2020 average of 65°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show persistent clear skies and light southwest winds limiting radiative cooling, with the prior night’s low reaching 70°F and daytime highs exceeding 90°F. This warm, stable pattern driven by offshore flow and minimal marine layer intrusion supports the market’s 99% implied probability for the 70–71°F bin. A stronger-than-expected onshore breeze or unexpected low-cloud development could allow greater cooling toward 68°F, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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