Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-80s highs in Miami on March 23, with 82-83°F leading at 24.5%, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 82°F amid persistent southerly winds and above-normal sea surface temperatures boosting daytime heating. Closely trailing 78-79°F (23%) and 80-81°F (21%) reflect model ensemble spread—GFS leans warmer at 84°F while ECMWF shows cooler 79°F due to potential afternoon sea breeze enhancement and isolated showers from a weak trough. Historical March 23 averages hover at 80°F, but low shear and high dew points favor slight upside risk over 86°F (17.4%), per NOAA data, underscoring uncertainty in boundary layer mixing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 23 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami em 23 de março?
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 24%
26,6–27,2°C 21%
84-85°F 19%
71°F ou menos
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
24%
26,6–27,2°C
21%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
19%
30-31°C
17%
88-89°F
10%
90°F ou mais
3%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 24%
26,6–27,2°C 21%
84-85°F 19%
71°F ou menos
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
24%
26,6–27,2°C
21%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
19%
30-31°C
17%
88-89°F
10%
90°F ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-80s highs in Miami on March 23, with 82-83°F leading at 24.5%, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 82°F amid persistent southerly winds and above-normal sea surface temperatures boosting daytime heating. Closely trailing 78-79°F (23%) and 80-81°F (21%) reflect model ensemble spread—GFS leans warmer at 84°F while ECMWF shows cooler 79°F due to potential afternoon sea breeze enhancement and isolated showers from a weak trough. Historical March 23 averages hover at 80°F, but low shear and high dew points favor slight upside risk over 86°F (17.4%), per NOAA data, underscoring uncertainty in boundary layer mixing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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