Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Miami high of 80-81°F (29%) or 82-83°F (25.5%) for March 22, driven by the latest NOAA and NWS forecasts pinpointing 81-82°F amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering sunny skies and light winds. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF converge on an average peak of 81.5°F, elevated above the March historical norm of 79°F due to Gulf Stream warmth and minimal cloud interference. Differentiation hinges on sea breeze timing: an earlier onshore flow could shave 1-2°F by enhancing coastal cooling, while delayed onset permits a hotter 83°F spike; preliminary soundings show borderline stability tilting odds evenly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on March 22?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 22?
80-81°F 30%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 7.8%
$77,453 Vol.
$77,453 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 30%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 7.8%
$77,453 Vol.
$77,453 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Miami high of 80-81°F (29%) or 82-83°F (25.5%) for March 22, driven by the latest NOAA and NWS forecasts pinpointing 81-82°F amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering sunny skies and light winds. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF converge on an average peak of 81.5°F, elevated above the March historical norm of 79°F due to Gulf Stream warmth and minimal cloud interference. Differentiation hinges on sea breeze timing: an earlier onshore flow could shave 1-2°F by enhancing coastal cooling, while delayed onset permits a hotter 83°F spike; preliminary soundings show borderline stability tilting odds evenly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions