Trader consensus on Seoul's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around 13-15°C, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest forecast indicating a peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds boosting mild advection. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread, with 70% probability between 12-15°C, diverging from the historical March average of 11.5°C due to an upper-level ridge weakening cold northerly outflows. Differentiating 13°C (top odds at 25.5%) from 15°C+ (24%) hinges on cloud cover evolution and diurnally maximized solar insolation; a slight overcast could cap at 13°C, while clearer conditions favor 15°C. Monitor KMA's evening update for resolution shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on March 24?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 24?
13°C 26%
12°C 25%
15°C or higher 24%
14°C 24%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
8%
10°C
17%
11°C
14%
12°C
17%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C or higher
24%
13°C 26%
12°C 25%
15°C or higher 24%
14°C 24%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
8%
10°C
17%
11°C
14%
12°C
17%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Seoul's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around 13-15°C, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest forecast indicating a peak of 14°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds boosting mild advection. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread, with 70% probability between 12-15°C, diverging from the historical March average of 11.5°C due to an upper-level ridge weakening cold northerly outflows. Differentiating 13°C (top odds at 25.5%) from 15°C+ (24%) hinges on cloud cover evolution and diurnally maximized solar insolation; a slight overcast could cap at 13°C, while clearer conditions favor 15°C. Monitor KMA's evening update for resolution shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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