Recent Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C on March 23, driven by clear skies, low humidity, and seasonal warming trends as summer approaches, positioning 31°C or below (51.5%) and 32°C (29.5%) as leading market-implied outcomes. Historical data shows average March maxima around 31-32°C, with recent days averaging 29-30°C amid cooler northerly winds, but a projected 1-2°C rise due to high-pressure systems has boosted trader confidence in moderate heat. Ensemble models from IMD exhibit typical 1°C uncertainty, while minimal cloud cover favors diurnal peaks; traders await airport observations for resolution amid low odds for extremes above 35°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 23?
31°C or below 55%
32°C 30%
33°C 9%
34°C 7%
$70,394 Vol.
$70,394 Vol.
31°C or below
52%
32°C
30%
33°C
9%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
31°C or below 55%
32°C 30%
33°C 9%
34°C 7%
$70,394 Vol.
$70,394 Vol.
31°C or below
52%
32°C
30%
33°C
9%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C on March 23, driven by clear skies, low humidity, and seasonal warming trends as summer approaches, positioning 31°C or below (51.5%) and 32°C (29.5%) as leading market-implied outcomes. Historical data shows average March maxima around 31-32°C, with recent days averaging 29-30°C amid cooler northerly winds, but a projected 1-2°C rise due to high-pressure systems has boosted trader confidence in moderate heat. Ensemble models from IMD exhibit typical 1°C uncertainty, while minimal cloud cover favors diurnal peaks; traders await airport observations for resolution amid low odds for extremes above 35°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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