Trader consensus heavily favors a Taipei high of 22°C on March 20, driven by the Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 22°C amid mild subtropical conditions typical for mid-March, when average highs hover around 22-24°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing light northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover capping temperatures after recent cooler fronts pushed early March averages to 20-21°C. Observed highs this week at 21°C yesterday reinforce this outlook, with low volatility in ensemble predictions reducing odds for 23°C or higher; traders eye tomorrow's CWB update for any shifts from emerging high-pressure ridges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei em 20 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Taipei em 20 de março?
22°C 94%
23°C 9%
24°C 1.0%
26°C <1%
$60,520 Vol.
$60,520 Vol.
20 °C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
94%
23°C
13%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
22°C 94%
23°C 9%
24°C 1.0%
26°C <1%
$60,520 Vol.
$60,520 Vol.
20 °C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
94%
23°C
13%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Janela de disputa
Final
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a Taipei high of 22°C on March 20, driven by the Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 22°C amid mild subtropical conditions typical for mid-March, when average highs hover around 22-24°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing light northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover capping temperatures after recent cooler fronts pushed early March averages to 20-21°C. Observed highs this week at 21°C yesterday reinforce this outlook, with low volatility in ensemble predictions reducing odds for 23°C or higher; traders eye tomorrow's CWB update for any shifts from emerging high-pressure ridges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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