Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 23-26°C, with 23°C or below edging out at 23.5% and 26°C close behind at 23.0%, driven by converging short-range forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting mild autumn highs of 24-27°C. Differentiating factors include variable southerly winds fostering sea breeze cooling that could suppress peaks below 24°C, versus urban heat island effects in the city core potentially lifting readings toward 26°C amid light cloud cover. Ensemble spreads reflect this uncertainty, with historical March 24 averages near 24°C providing baseline context as final 00z model runs loom.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
23°C or below 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 18%
24°C 15%
23°C or below
24%
24°C
15%
25°C
18%
26°C
23%
27°C
15%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
23°C or below 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 18%
24°C 15%
23°C or below
24%
24°C
15%
25°C
18%
26°C
23%
27°C
15%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 23-26°C, with 23°C or below edging out at 23.5% and 26°C close behind at 23.0%, driven by converging short-range forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting mild autumn highs of 24-27°C. Differentiating factors include variable southerly winds fostering sea breeze cooling that could suppress peaks below 24°C, versus urban heat island effects in the city core potentially lifting readings toward 26°C amid light cloud cover. Ensemble spreads reflect this uncertainty, with historical March 24 averages near 24°C providing baseline context as final 00z model runs loom.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions