Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–20°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on a peak near 19°C under a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. The Israel Meteorological Service's most recent outlook projects 18–21°C with partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, tempering daytime heating via sea-breeze moderation from the cooler Mediterranean surface temperatures around 18°C. Differentiating factors include minor model divergences—GFS slightly warmer at 20°C due to enhanced subsidence, versus cooler ICON runs at 18°C from increased low-level moisture—against historical late-March averages of 20°C, with urban heat island effects in Tel Aviv potentially nudging outcomes upward amid low precipitation risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 24?
19°C 23%
20°C 20%
18°C 17%
16°C 17%
13°C or below
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
14%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C
23%
20°C
20%
21°C
15%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
9%
19°C 23%
20°C 20%
18°C 17%
16°C 17%
13°C or below
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
14%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C
23%
20°C
20%
21°C
15%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–20°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on a peak near 19°C under a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. The Israel Meteorological Service's most recent outlook projects 18–21°C with partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, tempering daytime heating via sea-breeze moderation from the cooler Mediterranean surface temperatures around 18°C. Differentiating factors include minor model divergences—GFS slightly warmer at 20°C due to enhanced subsidence, versus cooler ICON runs at 18°C from increased low-level moisture—against historical late-March averages of 20°C, with urban heat island effects in Tel Aviv potentially nudging outcomes upward amid low precipitation risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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