Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 84-89°F for Dallas's March 24 high, driven by the latest NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts indicating a dominant subtropical ridge ushering southerly winds and Gulf moisture, with ensemble model means near 87°F from GFS and ECMWF runs. This setup favors upper-80s peaks, but differentiation arises from slight ensemble spreads—GFS leaning warmer at 88-90°F, ECMWF cooler at 85-87°F—amid potential cumulus cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms capping peaks. Historical March norms hover at 68°F, making these projections anomalously warm, yet trader hedging on 2-3°F variances reflects inherent model uncertainty as the date nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 24 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 24 de março?
84-85°F 25%
88-89°F 23%
32-33°C 18%
30-31°C 15%
77°F ou menos
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
21%
30-31°C
21%
88-89°F
23%
32-33°C
18%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F ou mais
3%
84-85°F 25%
88-89°F 23%
32-33°C 18%
30-31°C 15%
77°F ou menos
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
21%
30-31°C
21%
88-89°F
23%
32-33°C
18%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 84-89°F for Dallas's March 24 high, driven by the latest NOAA and National Weather Service forecasts indicating a dominant subtropical ridge ushering southerly winds and Gulf moisture, with ensemble model means near 87°F from GFS and ECMWF runs. This setup favors upper-80s peaks, but differentiation arises from slight ensemble spreads—GFS leaning warmer at 88-90°F, ECMWF cooler at 85-87°F—amid potential cumulus cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms capping peaks. Historical March norms hover at 68°F, making these projections anomalously warm, yet trader hedging on 2-3°F variances reflects inherent model uncertainty as the date nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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