Ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models anchor trader sentiment on Dallas's March 22 high temperature in the mid-90s°F, with NWS pinpointing 95°F amid a stubborn high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and advection of Gulf moisture for highs 20-25°F above March norms. The 94-95°F (25.5%) and 96-97°F (25.5%) bins reflect model spread—GFS ensembles trending hotter near 97°F, ECMWF cooler at 94°F—while 98°F+ (20.5%) captures upside from peak diurnal heating at DFW Airport. Urban heat islands and sparse cloud risks differentiate from 92-93°F (17.5%); watch 18z runs for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 22 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 22 de março?
94-95°F 26%
96-97°F 25%
98°F ou mais 21%
92-93°F 18%
$36,620 Vol.
$36,620 Vol.
79°F ou menos
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
30-31°C
2%
88-89°F
2%
32-33°C
10%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
25%
98°F ou mais
21%
94-95°F 26%
96-97°F 25%
98°F ou mais 21%
92-93°F 18%
$36,620 Vol.
$36,620 Vol.
79°F ou menos
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
30-31°C
2%
88-89°F
2%
32-33°C
10%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
25%
98°F ou mais
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models anchor trader sentiment on Dallas's March 22 high temperature in the mid-90s°F, with NWS pinpointing 95°F amid a stubborn high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light southerly winds, and advection of Gulf moisture for highs 20-25°F above March norms. The 94-95°F (25.5%) and 96-97°F (25.5%) bins reflect model spread—GFS ensembles trending hotter near 97°F, ECMWF cooler at 94°F—while 98°F+ (20.5%) captures upside from peak diurnal heating at DFW Airport. Urban heat islands and sparse cloud risks differentiate from 92-93°F (17.5%); watch 18z runs for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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