Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 24 hinges on forecasts of moderate Santa Ana winds, which promote downslope warming and suppress the coastal marine layer, potentially pushing highs 10-15°F above the March average of 70°F. National Weather Service models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converge on 80-84°F peaks amid high-pressure ridging aloft, elevating probabilities for 84°F+ (25%) and 82-83°F (17%), while splitting bets on 76-83°F ranges due to lingering uncertainty in offshore gusts up to 30 mph. Historical precedents show similar setups yielding record March warmth, but variability in compression heating differentiates closely matched outcomes like 76-77°F versus 82-83°F. Monitor afternoon updates from downtown LA's official observing station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
84°F or higher 25%
76-77°F 17%
74-75°F 13%
78-79°F 13%
65°F or below
6%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
17%
84°F or higher
25%
84°F or higher 25%
76-77°F 17%
74-75°F 13%
78-79°F 13%
65°F or below
6%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
17%
84°F or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 24 hinges on forecasts of moderate Santa Ana winds, which promote downslope warming and suppress the coastal marine layer, potentially pushing highs 10-15°F above the March average of 70°F. National Weather Service models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converge on 80-84°F peaks amid high-pressure ridging aloft, elevating probabilities for 84°F+ (25%) and 82-83°F (17%), while splitting bets on 76-83°F ranges due to lingering uncertainty in offshore gusts up to 30 mph. Historical precedents show similar setups yielding record March warmth, but variability in compression heating differentiates closely matched outcomes like 76-77°F versus 82-83°F. Monitor afternoon updates from downtown LA's official observing station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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