NWS guidance pegs the NYC high near 87°F today under a persistent upper-level ridge delivering anomalous April warmth, fueling trader consensus for the 86-87°F outcome at 31.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 84-85°F at 29.5%. Central Park observations (KNYC) already reached 85°F amid southwest winds enhancing vertical mixing and solar heating, with fair skies supporting further rises through mid-afternoon peak insolation around 2-4 PM EDT. Tight odds reflect model ensemble spread of 2-3°F and a low-confidence slight chance of isolated showers or thunderstorms per latest forecasts, which could introduce clouds and cap peaks; historical April averages hover near 60°F, underscoring the ridge's potency. Watch NWS hourly updates for resolution-defining Central Park max.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on April 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 15?
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 12%
$71,985 Vol.
$71,985 Vol.
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 12%
$71,985 Vol.
$71,985 Vol.
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...NWS guidance pegs the NYC high near 87°F today under a persistent upper-level ridge delivering anomalous April warmth, fueling trader consensus for the 86-87°F outcome at 31.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 84-85°F at 29.5%. Central Park observations (KNYC) already reached 85°F amid southwest winds enhancing vertical mixing and solar heating, with fair skies supporting further rises through mid-afternoon peak insolation around 2-4 PM EDT. Tight odds reflect model ensemble spread of 2-3°F and a low-confidence slight chance of isolated showers or thunderstorms per latest forecasts, which could introduce clouds and cap peaks; historical April averages hover near 60°F, underscoring the ridge's potency. Watch NWS hourly updates for resolution-defining Central Park max.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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