Ensemble weather models from authoritative sources like the ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's March 20 high temperature clustering tightly around 25-27°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds for these outcomes at 40-46%. This reflects a subtropical high-pressure system promoting southerly winds and sunshine, boosting diurnal heating above the March historical average of 24°C, while urban heat island effects in the city could nudge peaks higher toward 27-29°C. Recent developments include yesterday's 25°C high and minimal cloud cover in latest satellite imagery, but model spread highlights uncertainty from potential sea breezes or isolated showers capping advection. Traders eye hourly updates from the China Meteorological Administration for resolution-defining official station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 20 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 20 de março?
29°C ou mais 80%
25°C 43%
26°C 41%
27°C 41%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
43%
26°C
41%
27°C
41%
28°C
20%
29°C ou mais
80%
29°C ou mais 80%
25°C 43%
26°C 41%
27°C 41%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
20%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
43%
26°C
41%
27°C
41%
28°C
20%
29°C ou mais
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from authoritative sources like the ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's March 20 high temperature clustering tightly around 25-27°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds for these outcomes at 40-46%. This reflects a subtropical high-pressure system promoting southerly winds and sunshine, boosting diurnal heating above the March historical average of 24°C, while urban heat island effects in the city could nudge peaks higher toward 27-29°C. Recent developments include yesterday's 25°C high and minimal cloud cover in latest satellite imagery, but model spread highlights uncertainty from potential sea breezes or isolated showers capping advection. Traders eye hourly updates from the China Meteorological Administration for resolution-defining official station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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