Market-implied odds reflect real-time meteorological observations and short-range forecast consensus showing Zhengzhou reaching afternoon highs of 32–33°C on September 7 under sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow. Official local guidance projects a daytime maximum near 32°C, aligning with recent early-September patterns of 30–34°C highs and climatological norms for the region. Traders assign near-certainty to the 32°C-or-higher outcome because ongoing measurements already approach or meet the threshold, leaving little room for downward revision. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cooling event before peak heating could alter the result, an outcome models currently rule out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 7 de setembro?
32°C ou mais 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,534 Vol.
$3,534 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Sim
32°C ou mais 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,534 Vol.
$3,534 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Sim
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Market-implied odds reflect real-time meteorological observations and short-range forecast consensus showing Zhengzhou reaching afternoon highs of 32–33°C on September 7 under sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow. Official local guidance projects a daytime maximum near 32°C, aligning with recent early-September patterns of 30–34°C highs and climatological norms for the region. Traders assign near-certainty to the 32°C-or-higher outcome because ongoing measurements already approach or meet the threshold, leaving little room for downward revision. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cooling event before peak heating could alter the result, an outcome models currently rule out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions