Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang incumbent mayor of Keelung seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds an 85.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in this market. He secured his party's nomination for a second term after surviving a 2024 recall vote by a 55-45 margin and benefits from the city's historical KMT lean. The Democratic Progressive Party's nominee, Keelung City Council Speaker Tung Tzu-wei, trails at 11%, with a July 2026 Mirror Media poll showing Hsieh ahead 38.5-36% in a contest defined by local governance records, candidate registration deadlines in early September, and standard incumbency advantages in Taiwan local races. Other listed candidates register negligible support consistent with limited viability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
86%
Tung Tzu-wei
11%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
$1,127 Vol.
86%
Tung Tzu-wei
$656 Vol.
11%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang incumbent mayor of Keelung seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds an 85.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in this market. He secured his party's nomination for a second term after surviving a 2024 recall vote by a 55-45 margin and benefits from the city's historical KMT lean. The Democratic Progressive Party's nominee, Keelung City Council Speaker Tung Tzu-wei, trails at 11%, with a July 2026 Mirror Media poll showing Hsieh ahead 38.5-36% in a contest defined by local governance records, candidate registration deadlines in early September, and standard incumbency advantages in Taiwan local races. Other listed candidates register negligible support consistent with limited viability.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Volume
$1,783Data de Término
28 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang incumbent mayor of Keelung seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds an 85.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in this market. He secured his party's nomination for a second term after surviving a 2024 recall vote by a 55-45 margin and benefits from the city's historical KMT lean. The Democratic Progressive Party's nominee, Keelung City Council Speaker Tung Tzu-wei, trails at 11%, with a July 2026 Mirror Media poll showing Hsieh ahead 38.5-36% in a contest defined by local governance records, candidate registration deadlines in early September, and standard incumbency advantages in Taiwan local races. Other listed candidates register negligible support consistent with limited viability.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,783Data de Término
28 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang incumbent mayor of Keelung seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds an 85.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in this market. He secured his party's nomination for a second term after surviving a 2024 recall vote by a 55-45 margin and benefits from the city's historical KMT lean. The Democratic Progressive Party's nominee, Keelung City Council Speaker Tung Tzu-wei, trails at 11%, with a July 2026 Mirror Media poll showing Hsieh ahead 38.5-36% in a contest defined by local governance records, candidate registration deadlines in early September, and standard incumbency advantages in Taiwan local races. Other listed candidates register negligible support consistent with limited viability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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