Trader consensus favors Nithya Raman at 43.5% implied probability to win the Los Angeles mayoral election, reflecting high voter volatility with 40% undecided per the April UCLA Luskin poll and a controversial March survey showing her leading incumbent Karen Bass 33%-17%. Spencer Pratt's 32.5% odds stem from his rising profile as a Palisades Fire critic and recent Joe Rogan endorsement, appealing to anti-establishment sentiment amid Bass's 49% unfavorable rating despite new endorsements like the LA Area Chamber of Commerce. Bass trails at 20.5% as challengers highlight homelessness and budget issues ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where top-two advance to a potential November runoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNithya Raman 44%
Spencer Pratt 31%
Karen Bass 21%
Rae Huang 4.8%
$897,685 Vol.
$897,685 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Nithya Raman
44%
Spencer Pratt
31%
Karen Bass
21%
Rae Huang
5%
Adam Miller
1%
Asaad Alnajjar
1%
Gina Viola
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
Nithya Raman 44%
Spencer Pratt 31%
Karen Bass 21%
Rae Huang 4.8%
$897,685 Vol.
$897,685 Vol.
2 jun 2026
Nithya Raman
$14,505 Vol.
44%
Spencer Pratt
$107,285 Vol.
31%
Karen Bass
$28,898 Vol.
21%
Rae Huang
$50,694 Vol.
5%
Adam Miller
$92,121 Vol.
1%
Asaad Alnajjar
$51,881 Vol.
1%
Gina Viola
$84,231 Vol.
<1%
Austin Beutner
$10,314 Vol.
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
$7,360 Vol.
<1%
Rick Caruso
$430,248 Vol.
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
$20,148 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Trader consensus favors Nithya Raman at 43.5% implied probability to win the Los Angeles mayoral election, reflecting high voter volatility with 40% undecided per the April UCLA Luskin poll and a controversial March survey showing her leading incumbent Karen Bass 33%-17%. Spencer Pratt's 32.5% odds stem from his rising profile as a Palisades Fire critic and recent Joe Rogan endorsement, appealing to anti-establishment sentiment amid Bass's 49% unfavorable rating despite new endorsements like the LA Area Chamber of Commerce. Bass trails at 20.5% as challengers highlight homelessness and budget issues ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where top-two advance to a potential November runoff.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Volume
$897,685Data de Término
2 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Trader consensus favors Nithya Raman at 43.5% implied probability to win the Los Angeles mayoral election, reflecting high voter volatility with 40% undecided per the April UCLA Luskin poll and a controversial March survey showing her leading incumbent Karen Bass 33%-17%. Spencer Pratt's 32.5% odds stem from his rising profile as a Palisades Fire critic and recent Joe Rogan endorsement, appealing to anti-establishment sentiment amid Bass's 49% unfavorable rating despite new endorsements like the LA Area Chamber of Commerce. Bass trails at 20.5% as challengers highlight homelessness and budget issues ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where top-two advance to a potential November runoff.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$897,685Data de Término
2 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Nithya Raman at 43.5% implied probability to win the Los Angeles mayoral election, reflecting high voter volatility with 40% undecided per the April UCLA Luskin poll and a controversial March survey showing her leading incumbent Karen Bass 33%-17%. Spencer Pratt's 32.5% odds stem from his rising profile as a Palisades Fire critic and recent Joe Rogan endorsement, appealing to anti-establishment sentiment amid Bass's 49% unfavorable rating despite new endorsements like the LA Area Chamber of Commerce. Bass trails at 20.5% as challengers highlight homelessness and budget issues ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where top-two advance to a potential November runoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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