Recent weather observations and forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Jinan experiencing a sharp cooldown on September 11, 2026, with overnight lows projected to reach 12°C or below amid clear skies and northerly flow. This aligns with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital on verified station data. Typical September minimums hover near 18°C, making this event a notable deviation driven by recent atmospheric patterns. The primary resolution threshold is the official daily minimum at Jinan's primary weather station. A late-day warming trend or measurement revision above 12°C remains the main scenario that could shift odds, though current data consensus makes it unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 11 de setembro?
12°C ou menos 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$3,898 Vol.
$3,898 Vol.
12°C ou menos
Sim
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou superior
Não
12°C ou menos 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$3,898 Vol.
$3,898 Vol.
12°C ou menos
Sim
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou superior
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Recent weather observations and forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Jinan experiencing a sharp cooldown on September 11, 2026, with overnight lows projected to reach 12°C or below amid clear skies and northerly flow. This aligns with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital on verified station data. Typical September minimums hover near 18°C, making this event a notable deviation driven by recent atmospheric patterns. The primary resolution threshold is the official daily minimum at Jinan's primary weather station. A late-day warming trend or measurement revision above 12°C remains the main scenario that could shift odds, though current data consensus makes it unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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