Forecast uncertainty for Jinan’s overnight low on September 13 centers on variable cloud cover and light winds that modulate radiative cooling rates. Clear or partly cloudy conditions under weak pressure gradients allow stronger nocturnal heat loss, potentially driving minima toward 14–18 °C, while even modest southerly flow or increased moisture can limit cooling and keep readings near 19–22 °C. Current model guidance shows a tight cluster around 18–19 °C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 17 °C average lows, yet small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression could swing the outcome several degrees. Traders are therefore balancing the risk of enhanced radiative cooling against the stabilizing influence of residual summer warmth and light winds. Fresh model runs and surface observations over the next 12–24 hours will narrow the spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 13 de setembro?
12°C ou menos 93%
22°C ou mais 88%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
12°C ou menos
93%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C ou mais
88%
12°C ou menos 93%
22°C ou mais 88%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
12°C ou menos
93%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C ou mais
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Jinan’s overnight low on September 13 centers on variable cloud cover and light winds that modulate radiative cooling rates. Clear or partly cloudy conditions under weak pressure gradients allow stronger nocturnal heat loss, potentially driving minima toward 14–18 °C, while even modest southerly flow or increased moisture can limit cooling and keep readings near 19–22 °C. Current model guidance shows a tight cluster around 18–19 °C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 17 °C average lows, yet small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or dew-point depression could swing the outcome several degrees. Traders are therefore balancing the risk of enhanced radiative cooling against the stabilizing influence of residual summer warmth and light winds. Fresh model runs and surface observations over the next 12–24 hours will narrow the spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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