Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles em 21 de agosto?
68-69°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
61°F or below <1%
$5,365 Vol.
$5,365 Vol.
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
68-69°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
61°F or below <1%
$5,365 Vol.
$5,365 Vol.
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions