Tropical monsoon conditions and the southwest monsoon dominate Manila's overnight temperatures on September 20, 2026, with PAGASA forecasting a 25°C minimum amid 60% rain chances from localized thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (often 85–95%) limit radiative cooling, while light variable winds reduce mixing that could drop readings further. Recent model runs show overnight lows clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with typical September climatology near 25°C, though scattered heavy showers could trap heat and push the minimum toward 27°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or stronger outflow might allow brief dips near 25°C or lower. Market-implied odds near 50% for both 27°C and 25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final overnight observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Manila em 20 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 95%
25°C 95%
24°C 20%
23°C 13%
$326 Vol.
$326 Vol.
20 set 2026
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Sim
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C ou mais
Não
21°C ou menos 95%
25°C 95%
24°C 20%
23°C 13%
$326 Vol.
$326 Vol.
20 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
Não
22°C
$31 Vol.
Não
23°C
$0 Vol.
Não
24°C
$25 Vol.
Não
25°C
$15 Vol.
Não
26°C
$131 Vol.
Não
27°C
$93 Vol.
Sim
28°C
$0 Vol.
Não
29°C
$0 Vol.
Não
30°C
$0 Vol.
Não
31°C ou mais
$31 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tropical monsoon conditions and the southwest monsoon dominate Manila's overnight temperatures on September 20, 2026, with PAGASA forecasting a 25°C minimum amid 60% rain chances from localized thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (often 85–95%) limit radiative cooling, while light variable winds reduce mixing that could drop readings further. Recent model runs show overnight lows clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with typical September climatology near 25°C, though scattered heavy showers could trap heat and push the minimum toward 27°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or stronger outflow might allow brief dips near 25°C or lower. Market-implied odds near 50% for both 27°C and 25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$326Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tropical monsoon conditions and the southwest monsoon dominate Manila's overnight temperatures on September 20, 2026, with PAGASA forecasting a 25°C minimum amid 60% rain chances from localized thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (often 85–95%) limit radiative cooling, while light variable winds reduce mixing that could drop readings further. Recent model runs show overnight lows clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with typical September climatology near 25°C, though scattered heavy showers could trap heat and push the minimum toward 27°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or stronger outflow might allow brief dips near 25°C or lower. Market-implied odds near 50% for both 27°C and 25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$326Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Tropical monsoon conditions and the southwest monsoon dominate Manila's overnight temperatures on September 20, 2026, with PAGASA forecasting a 25°C minimum amid 60% rain chances from localized thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (often 85–95%) limit radiative cooling, while light variable winds reduce mixing that could drop readings further. Recent model runs show overnight lows clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with typical September climatology near 25°C, though scattered heavy showers could trap heat and push the minimum toward 27°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or stronger outflow might allow brief dips near 25°C or lower. Market-implied odds near 50% for both 27°C and 25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final overnight observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions