Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models converge on Mexico City overnight lows of 12–14°C for August 25, aligning with the city’s high-elevation basin location (~2,240 m) and peak rainy-season conditions that promote nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across 11–17°C outcomes because minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and light wind patterns can shift the minimum by 1–2°C through altered heat retention and moisture effects. Historical August averages near 13°C provide a stable baseline, while official station readings will resolve the market based on precise minimum thresholds rather than model spreads.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 25 de agosto?
14°C 50%
17°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
9°C ou menos
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
29%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
4%
19°C ou mais
1%
14°C 50%
17°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
9°C ou menos
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
29%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
4%
19°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models converge on Mexico City overnight lows of 12–14°C for August 25, aligning with the city’s high-elevation basin location (~2,240 m) and peak rainy-season conditions that promote nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across 11–17°C outcomes because minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and light wind patterns can shift the minimum by 1–2°C through altered heat retention and moisture effects. Historical August averages near 13°C provide a stable baseline, while official station readings will resolve the market based on precise minimum thresholds rather than model spreads.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions