Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Miami on September 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions: high humidity, scattered thunderstorm activity, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy skies. Persistent moisture and light southerly winds prevent significant temperature drops below seasonal norms, where average September overnight lows hover near 75°F. Multiple forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA guidance show 75–76°F as the most probable range, with minor model spread reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing overnight. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, resulting in the heaviest implied probability on 76–77°F while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical steering or clearing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Miami em 21 de setembro?
76-77°F 46%
74-75°F 35%
72-73°F 17%
78-79°F 15%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
69°F ou menos
1%
21-22°C
9%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
46%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
1%
30°C a 30,5°C
<1%
88°F ou mais
<1%
76-77°F 46%
74-75°F 35%
72-73°F 17%
78-79°F 15%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$91 Vol.
1%
21-22°C
$11 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
17%
74-75°F
$53 Vol.
35%
76-77°F
$492 Vol.
46%
78-79°F
$192 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$20 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C a 30,5°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
88°F ou mais
$400 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Miami on September 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions: high humidity, scattered thunderstorm activity, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy skies. Persistent moisture and light southerly winds prevent significant temperature drops below seasonal norms, where average September overnight lows hover near 75°F. Multiple forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA guidance show 75–76°F as the most probable range, with minor model spread reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing overnight. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, resulting in the heaviest implied probability on 76–77°F while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical steering or clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,279Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Miami on September 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions: high humidity, scattered thunderstorm activity, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy skies. Persistent moisture and light southerly winds prevent significant temperature drops below seasonal norms, where average September overnight lows hover near 75°F. Multiple forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA guidance show 75–76°F as the most probable range, with minor model spread reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing overnight. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, resulting in the heaviest implied probability on 76–77°F while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical steering or clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,279Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Miami on September 21, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions: high humidity, scattered thunderstorm activity, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy skies. Persistent moisture and light southerly winds prevent significant temperature drops below seasonal norms, where average September overnight lows hover near 75°F. Multiple forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA guidance show 75–76°F as the most probable range, with minor model spread reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing overnight. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, resulting in the heaviest implied probability on 76–77°F while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical steering or clearing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions