Current forecast models from sources like GFS and European guidance show Moscow's September 8 minimum temperatures likely near 8–9°C under northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, which limits overnight radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs around 13–14°C. This aligns with the historical average low of 9.3°C for the date. The closely matched market odds between sub-4°C and 14°C+ outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in exact steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 48 hours, as minor shifts in high pressure or frontal passage could alter the overnight low by several degrees. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines, with upcoming model runs expected to refine the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 8 de setembro?
4°C ou menos 100%
14°C ou mais 98%
5°C 50%
6°C 50%
4°C ou menos
100%
5°C
50%
6°C
50%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
1%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C ou mais
98%
4°C ou menos 100%
14°C ou mais 98%
5°C 50%
6°C 50%
4°C ou menos
100%
5°C
50%
6°C
50%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
1%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C ou mais
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS and European guidance show Moscow's September 8 minimum temperatures likely near 8–9°C under northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, which limits overnight radiative cooling while keeping daytime highs around 13–14°C. This aligns with the historical average low of 9.3°C for the date. The closely matched market odds between sub-4°C and 14°C+ outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in exact steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 48 hours, as minor shifts in high pressure or frontal passage could alter the overnight low by several degrees. Traders weigh these variables against climatological baselines, with upcoming model runs expected to refine the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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