Latest meteorological forecasts from sources like Time and Date and regional models point to overnight lows near 11–12°C in São Paulo on August 22, driven by a moderating cold front, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that favor radiative cooling after a daytime high around 20°C. These conditions align with typical late-winter patterns, where minimal cloud cover and low humidity allow surface temperatures to drop efficiently. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–12°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in minimums, with 13°C or higher hinging on delayed cooling or increased cloudiness, while sub-10°C outcomes would require stronger advection or clearer, calmer nights than currently projected. Updated model runs and official INMET briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 22 de agosto?
11°C 53%
12°C 50%
14°C ou mais 28%
13°C 27%
4°C ou menos
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
23%
9°C
18%
10°C
23%
11°C
41%
12°C
44%
13°C
27%
14°C ou mais
28%
11°C 53%
12°C 50%
14°C ou mais 28%
13°C 27%
4°C ou menos
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
23%
9°C
18%
10°C
23%
11°C
41%
12°C
44%
13°C
27%
14°C ou mais
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts from sources like Time and Date and regional models point to overnight lows near 11–12°C in São Paulo on August 22, driven by a moderating cold front, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that favor radiative cooling after a daytime high around 20°C. These conditions align with typical late-winter patterns, where minimal cloud cover and low humidity allow surface temperatures to drop efficiently. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–12°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in minimums, with 13°C or higher hinging on delayed cooling or increased cloudiness, while sub-10°C outcomes would require stronger advection or clearer, calmer nights than currently projected. Updated model runs and official INMET briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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