Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wellington em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wellington em 19 de setembro?
8°C 100.0%
4°C ou menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,349 Vol.
$1,349 Vol.
19 set 2026
4°C ou menos
Não
5°C
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Sim
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C ou mais
Não
8°C 100.0%
4°C ou menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,349 Vol.
$1,349 Vol.
19 set 2026
4°C ou menos
$41 Vol.
Não
5°C
$31 Vol.
Não
6°C
$31 Vol.
Não
7°C
$51 Vol.
Não
8°C
$197 Vol.
Sim
9°C
$684 Vol.
Não
10°C
$0 Vol.
Não
11°C
$0 Vol.
Não
12°C
$0 Vol.
Não
13°C
$257 Vol.
Não
14°C ou mais
$57 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,349Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,349Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions