Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 10 de setembro?
19°C 99%
17°C 4%
16°C ou menos 2%
18°C 1.0%
$1,224 Vol.
$1,224 Vol.
10 set 2026
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Não
19°C 99%
17°C 4%
16°C ou menos 2%
18°C 1.0%
$1,224 Vol.
$1,224 Vol.
10 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$35 Vol.
Não
17°C
$72 Vol.
Não
18°C
$26 Vol.
Não
19°C
$230 Vol.
Sim
20°C
$212 Vol.
Não
21°C
$308 Vol.
Não
22°C
$55 Vol.
Não
23°C
$35 Vol.
Não
24°C
$60 Vol.
Não
25°C
$106 Vol.
Não
26°C ou mais
$85 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,224Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,224Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions